World Energy Data · Decommissioning · Abandon stage (issue #777)

The Gulf of Mexico P&A liability wave

8,161 GoM boreholes are drilled but not yet permanently plugged (3,288 temporarily abandoned + 4,873 completed/open). At the decommissioning model's GoM P&A cost of $8–9M per shelf well (deepwater wells run higher, ~$26M each), that is $65.3B – $72.6B of latent P&A liability — and the 3,288 already-idled wells ($26.3B) are the imminent, overdue crest.

8,161
Boreholes awaiting P&A (TA + completed/open)
$65.3B
Latent liability floor @ $8M/well (GoM base)
3,288
Temporarily abandoned = overdue Idle-Iron crest
30,400
Already permanently plugged (wave to date)

Forward liability wave — by idle / completion vintage

67 temporarily abandoned (imminent)590 completed/open657$5.3Bpre-1980114 temporarily abandoned (imminent)772 completed/open886$7.1B1980s271 temporarily abandoned (imminent)884 completed/open1,155$9.2B1990s605 temporarily abandoned (imminent)1297 completed/open1,902$15.2B2000s1484 temporarily abandoned (imminent)988 completed/open2,472$19.8B2010s747 temporarily abandoned (imminent)342 completed/open1,089$8.7B2020s
Temporarily abandoned (imminent, overdue >5 yr rule) Completed / open (latent future P&A) Bar label = borehole count · figure = liability @ $8M/well

Vintage = the decade each borehole entered its current BSEE status (BOREHOLE_STAT_DT). Wells idled in earlier decades are the most overdue: the deeper the vintage, the longer the plug-or-justify clock has run.

Regulatory driver. BSEE BSEE NTL 2018-N02 — "Wells idle >5 years must be permanently plugged or justified" (6-month lead time). The 3,288 temporarily-abandoned boreholes are precisely the population this rule targets — each a deferred, not discharged, P&A obligation.

Vintage roll-up

Vintage decadeTemp. abandonedCompleted / open Forward P&A wellsLiability @ $8MAlready plugged
pre-198067590657$5.3B6,366
1980s114772886$7.1B4,771
1990s2718841,155$9.2B5,171
2000s6051,2971,902$15.2B5,888
2010s1,4849882,472$19.8B6,289
2020s7473421,089$8.7B1,914
Undated000$0.0B1
Total3,2884,873 8,161$65.3B 30,400

Per-well P&A cost (decommissioning cost model, region = GoM)

well_p_and_a = $8.0M base + $0.015M per m water depth × GoM multiplier 1.0. Reference points: base / shelf floor $8M (depth term = 0); shelf ~60 m $8.9M; shelf edge ~200 m $11M; deep water ~1209 m $26M (model confidence: medium). The headline liability range prices the whole forward population at the shelf band ($8–9M/well), where the GoM P&A backlog overwhelmingly sits; the deepwater figure is per-well escalation, not applied to every well (the data does not carry a per-well depth to weight the mix). Cited P&A cost benchmark, not a project quote.

Forward P&A demand context. The GoM intervention-access brief already flags heavy dead-well work — tubing pull / recompletion / P&A — as forward-looking rig-day demand across every water-depth band, with the deep bands short of GoM-resident heavy-intervention units (e.g. 5,000–10,000 ft: ~4.4× the resident rig-days). That access gap is the SUPPLY side of the same wave this page prices on the LIABILITY side; the demand figures are cited from the brief, not recomputed here.

Global companion. This page is the Gulf-of-Mexico well P&A wave. The regional decommissioning-liability view prices the global facility portfolio (836 offshore facilities, 5 regions) and shows why floating production — not the North Sea's fixed jackets — carries most of the modeled $17.5B removal bill.

Source. BSEE curated borehole inventory data/modules/bsee/current/wells/well_data.csv — 57,281 boreholes. Status mix: PA 30,400 · ST 17,559 · COM 4,873 · TA 3,288 · CNL 1,005 · other 153. Sidetrack (ST) and cancelled/permit (CNL/DSI/APD) boreholes are excluded from the forward P&A count (not standalone plug units).
Data limits. Per-well WATER_DEPTH is populated for only 100 of 57,281 boreholes, so the cost model's depth term cannot be applied per well; every $ figure is priced at the GoM P&A base ($8M) as a floor, with the shelf-to-deepwater band shown separately. Counts are boreholes, not distinct wellbores (a re-entered well may carry multiple status records). "Completed/open" includes active producers whose P&A obligation is real but not yet due; the temporarily-abandoned tier is the imminent subset. Cost factors are parametric industry benchmarks (model confidence: medium), not project estimates.
Generated by scripts/decommissioning/build_pa_liability_wave.py · cost model worldenergydata.decommissioning.cost_model · regs BSEE NTL 2018-N02.